Arthur Fils@ 1.60
Fils (~24, unseeded but rising fast) has been the form player of the summer with a Hamburg title and strong hard court results. Lehecka (~28) is returning from injury and hasn't shown peak form yet this swing. Fils has the aggressive, modern game perfectly suited to the US Open's fast DecoTurf surface. At 1.60, the market correctly favours Fils but there's still value given his trajectory.
Over 23.5 games@ 1.60
Two evenly matched young guns — Lehecka has the firepower to take sets off Fils even if he loses overall. Their only previous meeting went to 3 sets. Both are big servers on hard courts, making breaks hard to come by. At 1.97 this is strong value for a match likely to see at least one tight set or tiebreak.