Hamad Medjedovic@ 2.72
Medjedovic has shown strong clay form in 2025 with Challenger titles and is battle-tested on the surface, while Fonseca — despite the hype — is still raw at tour level and has yet to prove consistency on clay against physical, gritty opponents like the Serbian.
Alexander Zverev@ 1.33
Zverev [2 seed], a two-time Rome champion and perennial clay-court contender, faces 20-year-old wildcard Alexander Blockx who is ranked outside the top 150 — the 360-point ELO gap reflects just how one-sided this should be.
Karen Khachanov@ 1.77
Khachanov holds a 4-2 H2H lead over Van de Zandschulp and brings significantly more firepower and big-match experience, with the Dutchman struggling for consistent form in 2025 and lacking the weapons to trouble Khachanov's heavy groundstrokes on clay.