Edge Report

Tuesday, 5 May 2026 · AI edge detection · Quarter Kelly sizing · Live settlement · up to 7 days out

Bankroll54.9u

P&L-45.1u

Win56%63W/49L

🟡50%3W/3L

🔴40%2W/3L

🔵40%2W/3L

Today

🎾

ATP Rome, Men Singles

Today

Tuesday, 5 May · 5 picks · 2 multis

💰 Value Picks

💰 VALUE

Leandro Riedi

Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi

2.58

Cloudbet

TELO 70%

POLY2.25(45%)

2.7u

+34.9%

💰 VALUE

Pablo Carreno Busta

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka

1.61

Cloudbet

TELO 70%

POLY1.56(64%)

2.7u

+14.5%

💰 VALUE

Titouan Droguet

Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet

1.85

Cloudbet

TELO 70%

POLY1.74(57%)

2.7u

+34.4%

🎲 Wildcards

🎲 WILD

Daniel Merida

Daniel Merida vs Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

1.65

Cloudbet

No model

0.6u

+3.0%

🎲 WILD

Hugo Dellien

Hugo Dellien vs Jesper De Jong

2.34

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY2.35(43%)

0.6u

+5.5%

Recommended Multis

🟡VALUE2 legs

4.15x

Leandro Riedi@ 2.58

Riedi's been climbing rapidly in 2025 with strong Challenger results and his 180-point ELO edge over Comesana suggests the Swiss talent's all-court game is a tier above at generous 2.58 odds.

Pablo Carreno Busta@ 1.61

PCB's clay-court instincts remain elite even during his comeback, and his 206-point ELO advantage over the 40-year-old Wawrinka — who is winding down his career — provides solid value at 1.61.

🔴FULL SEND2 legs

4.26x

Leandro Riedi@ 2.58

Riedi's been climbing rapidly in 2025 with strong Challenger results and his 180-point ELO edge over Comesana suggests the Swiss talent's all-court game is a tier above at generous 2.58 odds.

Daniel Merida@ 1.65

Merida is the odds-on favourite at 1.65. Barrios Vera has struggled on the main tour and has been largely a Challenger-level player. Merida, while also lower-ranked, appears to have the edge based on recent form and the oddsmakers' assessment. Low confidence pick given lack of ELO data.

Results

WONPablo Carreno Busta

2.7u @ 1.61+1.62u

Tomorrow

🎾

ATP Rome, Men Singles

Tomorrow

Wednesday, 6 May · 12 picks · 3 multis

🔒 Locks

🔒 LOCK

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac

1.77

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY1.68(60%)

2.7u

+37.1%

🔒 LOCK

Alexei Popyrin

Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini

2.93

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY2.82(36%)

1.9u

+27.4%

🔒 LOCK

Marco Trungelliti

Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda

1.47

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY2.56(39%)

2.7u

+26.6%

🔒 LOCK

Fabian Marozsan

Fabian Marozsan vs Vit Kopriva

2.03

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY1.96(51%)

2.7u

+24.0%

🔒 LOCK

Mariano Navone

Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone

1.54

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY2.00(50%)

2.7u

+23.1%

🔒 LOCK

Jenson Brooksby

Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baez

3.92

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY3.33(30%)

1.0u

+21.6%

💰 Value Picks

💰 VALUE

Ignacio Buse

Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse

1.71

Cloudbet

TELO 70%

POLY2.15(47%)

2.7u

+19.4%

💰 VALUE

Roberto Bautista Agut

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrelli

1.68

Cloudbet

TELO 70%

POLY1.77(56%)

2.7u

+19.3%

💰 VALUE

Alexandre Muller

Alexandre Muller vs Botic Van de Zandschulp

2.31

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY1.83(55%)

1.9u

+18.2%

💰 VALUE

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar

1.89

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY1.35(74%)

2.2u

+14.0%

🎲 Wildcards

🎲 WILD

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenasso

1.53

Cloudbet

TELO 55%

POLY1.49(67%)

0.6u

+12.3%

🎲 WILD

Yannick Hanfmann

Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann

2.92

Cloudbet

TELO 85%

POLY1.57(64%)

0.6u

+9.3%

Recommended Multis

🔵SAFE3 legs

7.62x

Stefanos Tsitsipas@ 1.77

Tsitsipas [9] is a proven clay-court elite with a Rome semifinal pedigree, and his massive 465+ ELO advantage over Machac reflects a clear class gap despite Tsitsipas's inconsistent 2025 season.

Alexei Popyrin@ 2.93

Popyrin [16] has been in strong form in 2025 with improved consistency, and while Berrettini thrives in Rome, his ongoing fitness concerns and inconsistent comeback results make the Aussie a live underdog at juicy 2.93 odds.

Marco Trungelliti@ 1.47

The Argentine clay-court grinder holds a nearly 500-point ELO advantage over Svajda, who has been struggling to find form and has minimal results on European clay.

🟡VALUE4 legs

14.9x

Stefanos Tsitsipas@ 1.77

Tsitsipas [9] is a proven clay-court elite with a Rome semifinal pedigree, and his massive 465+ ELO advantage over Machac reflects a clear class gap despite Tsitsipas's inconsistent 2025 season.

Alexei Popyrin@ 2.93

Ignacio Buse@ 1.71

Buse is a natural clay-court competitor with a 218-point ELO edge, while Sonego has been in a prolonged slump despite home crowd support in Rome.

Roberto Bautista Agut@ 1.68

The veteran Spaniard's clay-court pedigree and 228-point ELO advantage over the inexperienced Maestrelli make this a solid value play, assuming RBA's body holds up in his comeback season.

🔴FULL SEND4 legs

13.57x

Stefanos Tsitsipas@ 1.77

Tsitsipas [9] is a proven clay-court elite with a Rome semifinal pedigree, and his massive 465+ ELO advantage over Machac reflects a clear class gap despite Tsitsipas's inconsistent 2025 season.

Alexei Popyrin@ 2.93

Ignacio Buse@ 1.71

Buse is a natural clay-court competitor with a 218-point ELO edge, while Sonego has been in a prolonged slump despite home crowd support in Rome.

Thiago Agustin Tirante@ 1.53

The Argentine clay specialist holds a 216-point ELO advantage over Cadenasso, though as a wildcard pick the lower confidence reflects the unpredictability of qualifying-level matches.

Odds not yet available

⚽

Auckland FC — A-League

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United

Saturday, 9 May

odds pending

Recent Results

🎾

Pablo Carreno Busta

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka

2.7u @ 1.61 →✅ Won+1.62u

🎾

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

0.3u @ 1.15 →✅ Won+0.04u

🎾

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev

2.6u @ 1.29 →✅ Won+0.76u

⚽

Auckland FC

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners

3.3u @ 1.41 →❌ Lost-3.25u

⚽

Auckland FC