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Edge Report

Wednesday, 6 May 2026 ยท AI edge detection ยท Quarter Kelly sizing ยท Live settlement ยท up to 7 days out

Bankroll47.8u
P&L-52.2u
Win55%65W/53L
๐ŸŸก50%3W/3L
๐Ÿ”ด40%2W/3L
๐Ÿ”ต40%2W/3L
๐ŸŽพ

ATP Rome, Men Singles

Today

Wednesday, 6 May ยท 11 picks ยท 3 multis

๐Ÿ”’ Locks

๐Ÿ”’ LOCK
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac
1.75
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY1.74(57%)
2.4u
+36.5%
๐Ÿ”’ LOCK
Marco Trungelliti
Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda
1.58
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY1.57(64%)
2.4u
+31.3%
๐Ÿ”’ LOCK
Alexei Popyrin
Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini
2.88
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY2.99(34%)
1.7u
+26.8%
๐Ÿ”’ LOCK
Mariano Navone
Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navone
1.57
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY1.60(63%)
2.4u
+24.3%
๐Ÿ”’ LOCK
Jenson Brooksby
Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baez
3.91
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY3.92(26%)
0.9u
+21.6%

๐Ÿ’ฐ Value Picks

๐Ÿ’ฐ VALUE
Damir Dzumhur
Damir Dzumhur vs Adrian Mannarino
1.39
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY1.38(73%)
2.4u
+18.7%
๐Ÿ’ฐ VALUE
Alexandre Muller
Alexandre Muller vs Botic Van de Zandschulp
2.28
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY2.30(44%)
1.6u
+17.7%
๐Ÿ’ฐ VALUE
Ignacio Buse
Lorenzo Sonego vs Ignacio Buse
1.66
Cloudbet
TELO 70%
POLY1.65(61%)
2.4u
+17.5%
๐Ÿ’ฐ VALUE
Valentin Royer
Hamad Medjedovic vs Valentin Royer
3.31
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY3.51(28%)
0.8u
+16.4%

๐ŸŽฒ Wildcards

๐ŸŽฒ WILD
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenasso
1.57
Cloudbet
TELO 55%
POLY1.60(63%)
0.5u
+14.0%
๐ŸŽฒ WILD
Marin Cilic
Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilic
1.69
Cloudbet
TELO 85%
POLY1.68(60%)
0.5u
+13.3%

Recommended Multis

๐Ÿ”ตSAFE3 legs
7.96x
Stefanos Tsitsipas@ 1.75
Tsitsipas, a former Rome finalist and elite clay-courter, holds a massive ELO advantage over Machac and should cruise through this qualifier-level matchup with his heavy topspin game perfectly suited to Roman clay.
Marco Trungelliti@ 1.58
The experienced Argentine clay specialist holds a nearly 500-point ELO edge over the young American Svajda, who has minimal results on clay and is far outside his comfort zone on this surface.
Alexei Popyrin@ 2.88
Popyrin's ELO suggests he's significantly undervalued at 2.88 odds; while Berrettini is the home crowd favorite, his inconsistent fitness and match sharpness after recurring injuries make the Aussie a strong value play here.
๐ŸŸกVALUE4 legs
8.76x
Stefanos Tsitsipas@ 1.75
Tsitsipas, a former Rome finalist and elite clay-courter, holds a massive ELO advantage over Machac and should cruise through this qualifier-level matchup with his heavy topspin game perfectly suited to Roman clay.
Marco Trungelliti@ 1.58
The experienced Argentine clay specialist holds a nearly 500-point ELO edge over the young American Svajda, who has minimal results on clay and is far outside his comfort zone on this surface.
Damir Dzumhur@ 1.39
Dzumhur holds a commanding 400-point ELO edge over the aging Mannarino, whose declining movement and results make him vulnerable to the Bosnian's solid baseline game on clay.
Alexandre Muller@ 2.28
Muller has been in strong 2025 form and holds an 80-point ELO advantage over Van de Zandschulp, whose clay-court results have been mediocre โ€” this looks like a clear value spot at 2.28.
๐Ÿ”ดFULL SEND4 legs
6.03x
Stefanos Tsitsipas@ 1.75
Tsitsipas, a former Rome finalist and elite clay-courter, holds a massive ELO advantage over Machac and should cruise through this qualifier-level matchup with his heavy topspin game perfectly suited to Roman clay.
Marco Trungelliti@ 1.58
The experienced Argentine clay specialist holds a nearly 500-point ELO edge over the young American Svajda, who has minimal results on clay and is far outside his comfort zone on this surface.
Damir Dzumhur@ 1.39
Dzumhur holds a commanding 400-point ELO edge over the aging Mannarino, whose declining movement and results make him vulnerable to the Bosnian's solid baseline game on clay.
Thiago Agustin Tirante@ 1.57
The Argentine clay specialist holds a 200+ ELO advantage over Italian wildcard Cadenasso, though the lower confidence reflects the unpredictability of facing a home crowd-backed unknown quantity.

Results

WONDamir Dzumhur
2.5u @ 1.39+0.96u
LOSTFabian Marozsan
2.7u @ 2.03-2.66u

Odds not yet available

โšฝ
Auckland FC โ€” A-League
Auckland FC vs Adelaide United
Saturday, 9 May
odds pending
๐Ÿ‰
Warriors โ€” NRL
New Zealand Warriors vs Brisbane Broncos
Sunday, 17 May
odds pending

Recent Results

๐ŸŽพ
Damir Dzumhur
Damir Dzumhur vs Adrian Mannarino
2.5u @ 1.39 โ†’โœ… Won+0.96u
๐ŸŽพ
Fabian Marozsan
Fabian Marozsan vs Vit Kopriva
2.7u @ 2.03 โ†’โŒ Lost-2.66u
๐ŸŽพ
Hugo Dellien
Hugo Dellien vs Jesper De Jong
0.3u @ 2.34 โ†’โŒ Lost-0.27u
๐ŸŽพ
Titouan Droguet
Patrick Kypson vs Titouan Droguet
2.7u @ 1.85 โ†’โŒ Lost-2.66u
๐ŸŽพ
Daniel Merida
Daniel Merida vs Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
0.3u @ 1.65 โ†’โœ… Won+0.18u
๐ŸŽพ
Leandro Riedi
Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi
2.7u @ 2.58 โ†’โŒ Lost-2.66u
๐ŸŽพ
Pablo Carreno Busta
Pablo Carreno Busta vs Stan Wawrinka
2.7u @ 1.61 โ†’โœ… Won+1.62u
๐ŸŽพ
Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
0.3u @ 1.15 โ†’โœ… Won+0.04u
๐ŸŽพ
Alexander Zverev
Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev
2.6u @ 1.29 โ†’โœ… Won+0.76u
โšฝ
Auckland FC
Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners
3.3u @ 1.41 โ†’โŒ Lost-3.25u