Edge Report

Zverev is the 4th seed (ranked #4) vs Cerundolo (~31) in a US Open QF. Zverev has a 3-1 H2H lead including a straight-sets win at Roland Garros 2024. Zverev's massive serve and power game are ideally suited to hard courts, and he's been in excellent form this tournament. At 1.32, this is a solid lock for the multi.

Cerundolo is a competitive grinder who won't go away quietly — he pushed Carlos Alcaraz to 5 sets at RG 2024 and has the shotmaking to hold serve regularly. Zverev's QF matches at Slams tend to be tense affairs. Even in a straight-sets Zverev win, tight sets like 7-5 or 6-4 push this over 22.5. At 1.82 this offers good value.

Fils (~24, unseeded but rising fast) has been the form player of the summer with a Hamburg title and strong hard court results. Lehecka (~28) is returning from injury and hasn't shown peak form yet this swing. Fils has the aggressive, modern game perfectly suited to the US Open's fast DecoTurf surface. At 1.60, the market correctly favours Fils but there's still value given his trajectory.

Two evenly matched young guns — Lehecka has the firepower to take sets off Fils even if he loses overall. Their only previous meeting went to 3 sets. Both are big servers on hard courts, making breaks hard to come by. At 1.97 this is strong value for a match likely to see at least one tight set or tiebreak.